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Wednesday: FOMC Minutes

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Wednesday: FOMC Minutes

Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • During the day, The AIA’s Architecture Billings Index for April (a leading indicator for commercial real estate). • At 2:00 PM, FOMC Minutes, Meeting of April 30-May 1, 2019 Calculated Risk
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Sunday Night Futures

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Sunday Night Futures

Weekend:• Schedule for Week of May 19, 2019 Monday:• 8:30 AM ET, Chicago Fed National Activity Index for April. This is a composite index of other data. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures: S&P 500 are up 8 and DOW futures are up 88 (fair value). Oil prices were up over the last...
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Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in April

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Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in April

From housing economist Tom Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in April Based on publicly-available local realtor/MLS reports released across the country through today, I project that existing home sales as estimated by the National Association of Realtors ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.31 million in April, up 1.9% from...
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Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Declines in April

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Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Declines in April

From Dodge Data Analytics: Dodge Momentum Index Dips in April The Dodge Momentum Index fell 0.5% in April to 144.3 (2000=100) from the revised March reading of 145.1. The Momentum Index, issued by Dodge Data & Analytics, is a monthly measure of the first (or initial) report for nonresidential building projects in planning, which...
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Trends in Educational Attainment in the U.S. Labor Force

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Trends in Educational Attainment in the U.S. Labor Force

The first graph shows the unemployment rate by four levels of education (all groups are 25 years and older) through April 2019. Unfortunately this data only goes back to 1992 and includes only two recessions (the stock / tech bust in 2001, and the housing bust/financial crisis). Clearly education matters with regards to the...
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Schedule for Week of May 12, 2019

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Schedule for Week of May 12, 2019

The key reports this week are April housing starts and retail sales. For manufacturing, the April Industrial Production report and the May NY and Philly Fed manufacturing surveys will be released this week. —– Monday, May 13th —–No major economic releases scheduled. —– Tuesday, May 14th —–6:00 AM ET: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index...
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CoreLogic: House Prices up 3.7% Year-over-year in March

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CoreLogic: House Prices up 3.7% Year-over-year in March

Notes: This CoreLogic House Price Index report is for March. The recent Case-Shiller index release was for February. The CoreLogic HPI is a three month weighted average and is not seasonally adjusted (NSA). From CoreLogic: CoreLogic Reports March Home Prices Increased by 3.7% Year Over Year CoreLogic® … today released the CoreLogic Home Price...
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Friday: Employment Report

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Friday: Employment Report

My April Employment Preview Goldman: April Payrolls Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM: Employment Report for April.   The consensus is for 180,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 3.8%. • At 10:00 AM: the ISM non-Manufacturing Index for April.   The consensus is for a reading of 57.2, up...
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Wednesday: ADP Employment, ISM Mfg Survey, Construction Spending, FOMC Announcement

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Wednesday: ADP Employment, ISM Mfg Survey, Construction Spending, FOMC Announcement

Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At All day: Light vehicle sales for April. The consensus is for light vehicle sales to be 17.0 million SAAR in April, down from 17.5 million in March (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate). •...
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Sunday Night Futures

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Sunday Night Futures

Weekend:• Schedule for Week of April 28, 2019 Monday:• 8:30 AM ET, Personal Income and Outlays, March 2019. The consensus is for a 0.4% increase in personal income, and for a 0.7% increase in personal spending. And for the Core PCE price index to increase 0.1%. • 10:30 AM, Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing...
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