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Schedule for Week of February 17, 2019

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Schedule for Week of February 17, 2019

The key report this week is January existing home sales. For manufacturing, the February Philly Fed manufacturing survey will be released. —– Monday, Feb 18th —–All US markets will be closed in observance of Washington’s Birthday Holiday. —– Tuesday, Feb 19th —–10:00 AM: The February NAHB homebuilder survey. The consensus is for a reading...
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Wednesday: CPI

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Wednesday: CPI

Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 8:30 AM, The Consumer Price Index for January from the BLS. The consensus is for 0.1% increase in CPI, and a 0.2% increase in core CPI. Calculated Risk
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Sunday Night Futures

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Sunday Night Futures

Weekend:• Schedule for Week of February 10, 2019 Monday:• No major economic releases scheduled. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures: S&P 500 and DOW futures are mostly unchanged (fair value). Oil prices were down over the last week with WTI futures at .44 per barrel and Brent at .89 per barrel.  A year...
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Q4 GDP Forecasts: Mid-2s

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Q4 GDP Forecasts: Mid-2s

The BEA has announced that the Q4 advanced GDP report will be combined with the 2nd estimate of GDP, and will be released on Feb 28th. From Merrill Lynch: Better than expected trade data were offset by soft manufacturing inventories data, leaving our 4Q tracking estimate unchanged at 2.3%. emphasis added From...
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BEA: Q4 GDP to be Released Feb 28th, And Census Update

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BEA: Q4 GDP to be Released Feb 28th, And Census Update

From the BEA: New Dates Set for GDP, Personal Income, and International Trade Bureau of Economic Analysis data on U.S. gross domestic product, personal income and outlays, and international trade in goods and services that were delayed by the recent lapse in federal funding will be released in late February and early March. A...
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Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs During Presidential Terms

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Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs During Presidential Terms

By request, here is another update of tracking employment during Presidential terms.  We frequently use Presidential terms as time markers – we could use Speaker of the House, Fed Chair, or any other marker. NOTE: Several readers have asked if I could add a lag to these graphs (obviously a new President has zero...
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Schedule for Week of February 3, 2019

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Schedule for Week of February 3, 2019

Special Note on Government Opening: Now that the Government is open, some of the data releases that were postponed are starting to be released. The BEA and Census will provide further release dates soon (like for Q4 GDP). The key reports scheduled for this week are the trade deficit and January vehicle sales. —–...
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A few Comments on November New Home Sales

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A few Comments on November New Home Sales

First, this report was for November (it was almost ready to release when the government shutdown began in December). The December report will probably be released soon, but no release date has been announced yet. Based on other data, I’d expect sales to be weak in December, but talking to builders, I expect a...
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Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 5.2% year-over-year in November

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Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 5.2% year-over-year in November

S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for November (“October” is a 3 month average of September, October and November prices). This release includes prices for 20 individual cities, two composite indices (for 10 cities and 20 cities) and the monthly National index. Note: Case-Shiller reports Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA), I use the SA...
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Schedule for Week of January 27th

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Schedule for Week of January 27th

Special Note on Government Opening: Now that the Government is open, the data releases that were postponed will be released soon. The BEA and Census will probably provide an updated schedule early next week. Some releases on the weekly schedule below will probably be delayed (like Q4 GDP). The key reports scheduled for this...
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