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BEA: Personal Income increased 0.2% in September, Core PCE prices up 1.5% year-over-year

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The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for September:

Personal income increased .7 billion, or 0.2 percent … in September, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased .0 billion, or 0.2 percent.

Real PCE — PCE adjusted to remove price changes — decreased 0.2 percent in September, in contrast to an increase of 0.5 percent in August. … The price index for PCE increased 0.1 percent in September, in contrast to a decrease of 0.1 percent in August. The PCE price index, excluding food and energy, increased 0.1 percent in September, the same increase as in August.

Personal saving — DPI less personal outlays — was 2.2 billion in September, compared with 2.0 billion in August. The personal saving rate — personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income — was 5.6 percent in September, compared with 5.4 percent in August.

A key point is that the PCE price index was only up 1.4% year-over-year (1.5% for core PCE). This is still below the Fed’s target.
Calculated Risk

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