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National Economic Outlook (December 2011)

National Economic Outlook (December 2011)

Although the overall health of the economy is of interest to everyone, if you’re a banker you particularly want to know when people will start borrowing money again.

Very roughly speaking, banks typically hold equal amounts of commercial loans, commercial real estate loans, home mortgages, consumer loans, government securities, and cash. With commercial, mortgage, and consumer lending sharply lower in the last few years, banks now hold more government securities and a lot more cash, both of which don’t produce much income.

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