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Posts Tagged ‘ business ’

Small Business Optimism Index decreased in October

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Small Business Optimism Index decreased in October

CR Note: Most of this survey is noise, but there is some information, especially on the labor market and the “Single Most Important Problem”. From the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB): October 2018 Report: Small Business Optimism Index The Optimism Index shed a modest 0.5 points, with slight declines in five components, no...
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Tuesday: Small Business Survey

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Tuesday: Small Business Survey

Tuesday:• At 6:00 AM ET, NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for September. Calculated Risk
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Merrill: The Return of the Political Business Cycle

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Merrill: The Return of the Political Business Cycle

A few excerpts from a Merrill Lynch research note: Political Business Cycle (PBC) models were a hot topic in the 1980s. In the standard “opportunist” PBC model incumbent politicians have an incentive to stimulate the economy going into elections because the benefits-low unemployment-materialize quickly and the costs-high inflation-occur with a lag. … After playing...
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Tuesday: Fed Chair Powell Panel Discussion, Job Openings, Small Business Confidence

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Tuesday: Fed Chair Powell Panel Discussion, Job Openings, Small Business Confidence

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Still Waiting to Make a Move Mortgage rates have been exceptionally sideways for nearly 2 weeks now–this after hitting the highest levels in more than 4 years on April 25th. emphasis added Tuesday:• At 3:15 AM ET, Panel Discussion, Fed Chair Jerome...
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Tuesday: Job Openings, Small Business Survey

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Tuesday: Job Openings, Small Business Survey

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Jolted Higher, Relatively Mortgage rates finally had a bad day, but everything’s relative.  This sort of bad day leaves the average lender quoting rates that would have been the best of 2017 any other time before last week.  It’s only when compared to last week that...
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NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in November

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NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in November

From the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB): Small Business Optimism Soars Post Election The full November index, calculated as it is every month, improved 3.5 points to 98.4, which is just above the 42-year average and only the third time since 2007 that it has broken into above average territory. Plans to hire...
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Tuesday: Small Business Confidence, Job Openings

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Tuesday: Small Business Confidence, Job Openings

From the Boston Globe: Gasoline prices slide even lower in Mass. Gasoline prices fell for the ninth consecutive week in Massachusetts, tumbling to an average of .77 a gallon on Monday, according to AAA Northeast. …It remains unclear whether prices have hit rock-bottom, as crude oil and gasoline inventories remain high. Last year around...
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Tuesday: Job Openings, Small Business Optimism

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Tuesday: Job Openings, Small Business Optimism

From Jon Hilsenrath at the WSJ: Fed Aims to Signal Shift on Low Rates Federal Reserve officials are seriously considering an important shift in tone at their policy meeting next week: dropping an assurance that short-term interest rates will stay near zero for a “considerable time” as they look more confidently toward rate increases...
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Wednesday: Small Business Optimism

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Wednesday: Small Business Optimism

From the LA Times: West Coast port slowdown raises fears of dockworker strike or lockout A six-year agreement covering nearly 20,000 dockworkers at 29 West Coast ports expired July 1. The sides have been negotiating since May. In 2002, amid talks for a previous contract, employers accused the union of go-slow tactics, then locked...
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Tuesday: Small Business Optimism Index (or more likely Pessimism)

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Tuesday: Small Business Optimism Index (or more likely Pessimism)

Trom the NY Times: Skeptics See Euro as Working Against European Unity he big worry lately is the specter of deflation, a doom loop of falling prices, wages and profits that, once under way, is a tailspin hard to pull out of. The fear of years of stagnation was the main impetus for the...
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