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Posts Tagged ‘ employment ’

The Impact of the Government Shutdown on the January Employment Report

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The Impact of the Government Shutdown on the January Employment Report

If the government shutdown continues through this coming week, then the unemployment rate in the January report will be negatively impacted. This is a key week since it is the reference week for the BLS report (contains the 12th of the month). If the shutdown continues through next weekend, Federal employees who are on...
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Comments on December Employment Report

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Comments on December Employment Report

The headline jobs number at 312 thousand for December was well above consensus expectations of 180 thousand, and the previous two months were revised up 58 thousand, combined. However, the unemployment rate increased to 3.9%. This was a strong report. Earlier: December Employment Report: 312,000 Jobs Added, 3.9% Unemployment Rate In December, the year-over-year...
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Thursday: ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit, ISM Non-Mfg, Q3 Flow of Funds

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Thursday: ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit, ISM Non-Mfg, Q3 Flow of Funds

Thursday:• At 8:15 AM ET, The ADP Employment Report for November. This report is for private payrolls only (no government).  The consensus is for 175,000 jobs added, down from 227,000 in October. • At 8:30 AM, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released.  The consensus is for 225 thousand initial claims, down...
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Friday: Employment Report, Trade Deficit and some Hiking Pictures

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Friday: Employment Report, Trade Deficit and some Hiking Pictures

My September Employment Preview Goldman: September Payrolls Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM, Employment Report for September. The consensus is for an increase of 180,000 non-farm payroll jobs in September, down from the 201,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in August. The consensus is for the unemployment rate to decline to 3.8%. • At 8:30 AM,...
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Friday: Employment Report, Trade Deficit

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Friday: Employment Report, Trade Deficit

My July Employment Preview Goldman: July Payrolls Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM, Employment Report for July. The consensus is for an increase of 190,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in July, down from the 213,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in June. The consensus is for the unemployment rate to decline to 3.9%. • Also at...
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Wednesday: FOMC Announcement., ISM Mfg, ADP Employment, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales

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Wednesday: FOMC Announcement., ISM Mfg, ADP Employment, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales

Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 8:15 AM, The ADP Employment Report for July. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). The consensus is for 172,000 payroll jobs added in July, up from 177,000 added in...
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Technical Note: Temporary Census Hiring and the Monthly Employment Report

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Technical Note: Temporary Census Hiring and the Monthly Employment Report

Most of the temporary hiring for the 2020 Census will happen in March, April and May of 2020. But some minor hiring will happen starting later this year. Here is the historical data on temporary Census hiring since 1990. For the monthly CES employment report, the BLS collects the data from Census, and adds...
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Thursday: ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims, ISM non-Mfg Survey, FOMC Minutes

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Thursday: ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims, ISM non-Mfg Survey, FOMC Minutes

Thursday:• At 8:15 AM ET, The ADP Employment Report for June. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). The consensus is for 188,000 payroll jobs added in June, up from 178,000 added in May. • At 8:30 AM, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released.  The consensus is for 223...
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Friday: Employment Report, Trade Deficit

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Friday: Employment Report, Trade Deficit

My December Employment Preview Goldman: December Payrolls Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM, Employment Report for December. The consensus is for an increase of 190,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in December, down from the 228,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in November. The consensus is for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 4.1%. • At...
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Comment on Employment Report: Hurricane Bounce Back, Record Job Streak Still Alive!

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Comment on Employment Report: Hurricane Bounce Back, Record Job Streak Still Alive!

The headline jobs number was strong at 261 thousand  – due to a bounce back from the hurricanes – but below expectations. However a key reason for the “disappointing” headline number was that the previous two months were revised up by a combined 90 thousand jobs. The upward revision to the September jobs report...
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