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Posts Tagged ‘ employment ’

Summer Teen Employment

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Summer Teen Employment

Here is a look at the change in teen employment over time. The graph below shows the participation rate and employment-population ratio for those 16 to 19 years old. The graph is Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA), to show the seasonal hiring of teenagers during the summer. A few observations:1) Although teen employment has recovered...
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Friday: Employment Report

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Friday: Employment Report

My April Employment Preview Goldman: April Payrolls Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM: Employment Report for April.   The consensus is for 180,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 3.8%. • At 10:00 AM: the ISM non-Manufacturing Index for April.   The consensus is for a reading of 57.2, up...
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Wednesday: ADP Employment, ISM Mfg Survey, Construction Spending, FOMC Announcement

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Wednesday: ADP Employment, ISM Mfg Survey, Construction Spending, FOMC Announcement

Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At All day: Light vehicle sales for April. The consensus is for light vehicle sales to be 17.0 million SAAR in April, down from 17.5 million in March (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate). •...
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Friday: Employment Report, Housing Starts, Speech Fed Chair Powell

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Friday: Employment Report, Housing Starts, Speech Fed Chair Powell

My February Employment Preview Goldman: February Payrolls Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM ET, Employment Report for February.   The consensus is for 178,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to decline to 3.9%. • At 8:30 AM, Housing Starts for January. The consensus is for 1.170 million SAAR, up from 1.078 million SAAR....
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Wednesday: ADP Employment, Trade Deficit, Beige Book

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Wednesday: ADP Employment, Trade Deficit, Beige Book

Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 8:15 AM, The ADP Employment Report for February. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). The consensus is for 180,000 payroll jobs added in February, down from 213,000 added in...
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The Impact of the Government Shutdown on the January Employment Report

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The Impact of the Government Shutdown on the January Employment Report

If the government shutdown continues through this coming week, then the unemployment rate in the January report will be negatively impacted. This is a key week since it is the reference week for the BLS report (contains the 12th of the month). If the shutdown continues through next weekend, Federal employees who are on...
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Comments on December Employment Report

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Comments on December Employment Report

The headline jobs number at 312 thousand for December was well above consensus expectations of 180 thousand, and the previous two months were revised up 58 thousand, combined. However, the unemployment rate increased to 3.9%. This was a strong report. Earlier: December Employment Report: 312,000 Jobs Added, 3.9% Unemployment Rate In December, the year-over-year...
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Thursday: ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit, ISM Non-Mfg, Q3 Flow of Funds

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Thursday: ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit, ISM Non-Mfg, Q3 Flow of Funds

Thursday:• At 8:15 AM ET, The ADP Employment Report for November. This report is for private payrolls only (no government).  The consensus is for 175,000 jobs added, down from 227,000 in October. • At 8:30 AM, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released.  The consensus is for 225 thousand initial claims, down...
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Friday: Employment Report, Trade Deficit and some Hiking Pictures

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Friday: Employment Report, Trade Deficit and some Hiking Pictures

My September Employment Preview Goldman: September Payrolls Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM, Employment Report for September. The consensus is for an increase of 180,000 non-farm payroll jobs in September, down from the 201,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in August. The consensus is for the unemployment rate to decline to 3.8%. • At 8:30 AM,...
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Friday: Employment Report, Trade Deficit

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Friday: Employment Report, Trade Deficit

My July Employment Preview Goldman: July Payrolls Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM, Employment Report for July. The consensus is for an increase of 190,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in July, down from the 213,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in June. The consensus is for the unemployment rate to decline to 3.9%. • Also at...
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