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Posts Tagged ‘ expect ’

Zillow Forecast on Case-Shiller Index: “Expect a (Very) Modest Slowdown” in November

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Zillow Forecast on Case-Shiller Index: “Expect a (Very) Modest Slowdown” in November

The Case-Shiller house price indexes for October were released this morning. Zillow forecasts Case-Shiller a month early, and I like to check the Zillow forecasts since they have been pretty close. From Zillow: November Case-Shiller Forecast: Expect a (Very) Modest Slowdown After several months in a row of accelerating growth in U.S. home prices, the...
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Zillow Forecast: Expect “Modestly Slower Growth” in January for the Case-Shiller Indexes than in December

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Zillow Forecast: Expect “Modestly Slower Growth” in January for the Case-Shiller Indexes than in December

The Case-Shiller house price indexes for December were released last week. Zillow forecasts Case-Shiller a month early, and I like to check the Zillow forecasts since they have been pretty close. From Zillow: January Case-Shiller Forecast: Modestly Slower Growth Expected The December Case-Shiller indices grew at a pace in line with prior months, with all...
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Merrill and Goldman Expect GDP to Rebound in Q2

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Merrill and Goldman Expect GDP to Rebound in Q2

Some excerpts from two research reports … From Merrill Lynch: To everything, there is a season After a dismal start to the new year, we think that the worst is behind us. At its low, our tracking model for 1Q GDP pegged growth at -1.2%; now it is tracking -0.2%. The low for 2Q...
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Yellen: Expect Rate Hike in 2015, Several Years before Fed Funds Rate “back to normal” level

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Yellen: Expect Rate Hike in 2015, Several Years before Fed Funds Rate “back to normal” level

From Fed Chair Janet Yellen: The Outlook for the Economy f the economy continues to improve as I expect, I think it will be appropriate at some point this year to take the initial step to raise the federal funds rate target and begin the process of normalizing monetary policy. To support taking this...
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Existing Home Sales: Expect Below Consensus Sales

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Existing Home Sales: Expect Below Consensus Sales

The NAR is scheduled to report June existing home sales on Monday. The consensus is for sales of 5.27 million on seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) basis. However economist Tom Lawler is estimating the NAR will report a June sales rate of 4.99 million. I’m reminded of the Damon Runyon line paraphrasing Ecclesiastes: “The race is not...
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Analysis: I expect QE3 on Sept 13th

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Analysis: I expect QE3 on Sept 13th

Since the Jackson Hole Symposium, I’ve been thinking it is very likely that so-called “QE3″ would be announced at the next FOMC meeting (Sept 12th and 13th). And after thinking about Columbia University professor Michael Woodford’s paper presented at Jackson Hole, I think this round of asset purchases might be more effective than most...
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