Friday:• At 8:30 AM, Retail sales for May is scheduled to be released.  The consensus is for 0.7% increase in retail sales. • At 9:15 AM, The Fed will release Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for May. The consensus is for a 0.2% increase in Industrial Production, and for Capacity Utilization to increase to...
Read more »

My April Employment Preview Goldman: April Payrolls Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM: Employment Report for April.   The consensus is for 180,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 3.8%. • At 10:00 AM: the ISM non-Manufacturing Index for April.   The consensus is for a reading of 57.2, up...
Read more »

Friday:• At 8:30 AM ET, Personal Income, February 2019; Personal Outlays, January 2019. The consensus is for a 0.3% increase in personal income, and for a 0.3% increase in personal spending. And for the Core PCE price index to increase 0.2%. • At 9:45 AM, Chicago Purchasing Managers Index for March. The consensus is...
Read more »

My February Employment Preview Goldman: February Payrolls Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM ET, Employment Report for February.   The consensus is for 178,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to decline to 3.9%. • At 8:30 AM, Housing Starts for January. The consensus is for 1.170 million SAAR, up from 1.078 million SAAR....
Read more »

Probably the four most important data releases for tracking the economy are 1) the monthly employment report, 2) the quarterly GDP report, 3) the monthly housing starts report, and 4) the new home sales report.  Only the employment report is being released on time. The government shutdown is delaying 3 out of 4 of...
Read more »

Friday:• At 8:30 AM ET, Durable Goods Orders for November from the Census Bureau. The consensus is for a 1.5% increase in durable goods orders. • At 8:30 AM, Gross Domestic Product, 3nd quarter 2018 (Third estimate). The consensus is that real GDP increased 3.5% annualized in Q3, unchanged from the second estimate of...
Read more »

My September Employment Preview Goldman: September Payrolls Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM, Employment Report for September. The consensus is for an increase of 180,000 non-farm payroll jobs in September, down from the 201,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in August. The consensus is for the unemployment rate to decline to 3.8%. • At 8:30 AM,...
Read more »

Friday:• At 8:30 AM ET, Retail sales for August will be released.  The consensus is for a 0.4% increase in retail sales. • At 9:15 AM, The Fed will release Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for August. The consensus is for a 0.4% increase in Industrial Production, and for Capacity Utilization to increase to...
Read more »

My July Employment Preview Goldman: July Payrolls Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM, Employment Report for July. The consensus is for an increase of 190,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in July, down from the 213,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in June. The consensus is for the unemployment rate to decline to 3.9%. • Also at...
Read more »

Friday:• At 8:30 AM ET, Personal Income and Outlays for May. The consensus is for a 0.4% increase in personal income, and for a 0.4% increase in personal spending. And for the Core PCE price index to increase 0.2%. • At 9:45 AM, Chicago Purchasing Managers Index for June. The consensus is for a...
Read more »