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A few Comments on August New Home Sales

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A few Comments on August New Home Sales

New home sales for August were reported at 629,000 on a seasonally adjusted annual rate basis (SAAR). This was close to the consensus forecast, however the three previous months were revised down significantly. Sales in August were up 12.7% year-over-year compared to August 2017.   This was strong YoY growth, however this was an...
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Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Flow of Funds

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Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Flow of Funds

Note: The weekly claims report will be for the week ending September 15th. Hurricane Florence impacted the Carolinas starting around September 13th, so there might be some increase in claims due to the hurricane, but it is more likely a bump in claims will happen this week (to be reported next week). Thursday:• At...
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Wednesday: Existing Home Sales, FOMC Minutes, BLS Benchmark Revision

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Wednesday: Existing Home Sales, FOMC Minutes, BLS Benchmark Revision

Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • During the day, The AIA’s Architecture Billings Index for July (a leading indicator for commercial real estate). • At 10:00 AM, Existing Home Sales for July from the National Association of Realtors (NAR)....
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A Few Comments on May Existing Home Sales

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A Few Comments on May Existing Home Sales

Earlier: NAR: “Existing-Home Sales Backpedal, Decrease 0.4 Percent in May” A few key points: 1) As usual, housing economist Tom Lawler’s forecast was closer to the NAR report than the consensus. See: Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in April.   The consensus was for sales of 5.56 million SAAR, Lawler estimated the...
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Monday: Existing Home Sales

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Monday: Existing Home Sales

Weekend:• Schedule for Week of Apr 22, 2018 Monday:• At 8:30 AM ET, Chicago Fed National Activity Index for March. This is a composite index of other data. • At 10:00 AM, Existing Home Sales for March from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The consensus is for 5.28 million SAAR, down from 5.54...
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Friday: New Home Sales, Durable Goods

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Friday: New Home Sales, Durable Goods

Friday:• At 8:30 AM ET, Durable Goods Orders for February from the Census Bureau. The consensus is for a 0.1.72% increase in durable goods orders. • At 10:00 AM, New Home Sales for February from the Census Bureau. The consensus is for 626 thousand SAAR, up from 593 thousand in January. • Also at...
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Wednesday: FOMC Announcement, Existing Home Sales

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Wednesday: FOMC Announcement, Existing Home Sales

Here is my FOMC preview and a preview from Goldman Sachs economists. Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 10:00 AM, Existing Home Sales for February from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The consensus is for 5.42 million...
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Wednesday: GDP, Pending Home Sales, Chicago PMI

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Wednesday: GDP, Pending Home Sales, Chicago PMI

Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 8:30 AM, Gross Domestic Product, 4th quarter 2017 (Second estimate). The consensus is that real GDP increased 2.5% annualized in Q4, down from the advance estimate of 2.6%. • 9:45 AM: Chicago...
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Monday: New Home Sales

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Monday: New Home Sales

Weekend:• Schedule for Week of Feb 25, 2018 Monday:• 8:30 AM ET, Chicago Fed National Activity Index for January. This is a composite index of other data. • 10:00 AM, New Home Sales for January from the Census Bureau. The consensus is for 600 thousand SAAR, down from 625 thousand in December. • 10:30...
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A few Comments on December New Home Sales

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A few Comments on December New Home Sales

New home sales for December were reported at 625,000 on a seasonally adjusted annual rate basis (SAAR). This was well below the consensus forecast, and the three previous months were revised down significantly. On an annual basis, sales were up 8.3% in 2017 compared to 2016.  This was a solid year-over-year gain. Here is...
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