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Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 42 states in October

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Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 42 states in October

From the Philly Fed: The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has released the coincident indexes for the 50 states for October 2018. Over the past three months, the indexes increased in 43 states, decreased in four states, and remained stable in three, for a three-month diffusion index of 78. In the past month, the...
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Personal Income increased 0.3% in July, Spending increased 0.4%

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Personal Income increased 0.3% in July, Spending increased 0.4%

The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for July: Personal income increased .8 billion (0.3 percent) in July according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased .5 billion (0.3 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased .3 billion (0.4 percent). Real DPI increased 0.2...
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Chemical Activity Barometer Increased in January

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Chemical Activity Barometer Increased in January

Note: This appears to be a leading indicator for industrial production. From the American Chemistry Council: Business, Economic Activity Show No Signs of Winter Freeze as 2018 Gets off to Robust Start The Chemical Activity Barometer (CAB), a leading economic indicator created by the American Chemistry Council (ACC), expanded 0.5 percent in January on...
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Personal Income increased 0.4% in October, Spending increased 0.3%

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Personal Income increased 0.4% in October, Spending increased 0.3%

The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for October: Personal income increased .1 billion (0.4 percent) in October according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased .1 billion (0.5 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased .4 billion (0.3 percent). …Real DPI increased 0.3...
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AAR: Rail Traffic increased in June

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AAR: Rail Traffic increased in June

From the Association of American Railroads (AAR) Rail Time Indicators. Graphs and excerpts reprinted with permission. U.S. rail traffic in June 2017 was a mix of the good and the not so good. The good included intermodal, which was up 4.6% in June and 2.7% (179,515 containers and trailers) for the year to date....
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Retail Sales increased 0.4% in April

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Retail Sales increased 0.4% in April

On a monthly basis, retail sales increased 0.4 percent from March to April (seasonally adjusted), and sales were up 4.5 percent from April 2016. From the Census Bureau report: Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for April 2017, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price...
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AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased in March

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AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased in March

Note: This index is a leading indicator primarily for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment. From the AIA: Architecture Billings Index continues to strengthen The first quarter of the year ended on a positive note for the Architecture Billings Index (ABI).  As a leading economic indicator of construction activity, the ABI reflects the approximate...
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ADP: Private Employment increased 246,000 in January

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ADP: Private Employment increased 246,000 in January

From ADP: Private sector employment increased by 246,000 jobs from December 2016 to January 2017 according to the January ADP National Employment Report®. … The report, which is derived from ADP’s actual payroll data, measures the change in total nonfarm private employment each month on a seasonally-adjusted basis.…“The U.S. labor market is hitting on...
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Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate increased in November

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Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate increased in November

Fannie Mae reported today that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency rate increased to 1.23% in November, up from 1.21% in October. The serious delinquency rate is down from 1.58% in November 2015. These are mortgage loans that are “three monthly payments or more past due or in foreclosure”.  The Fannie Mae serious delinquency rate peaked...
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NAHB: Builder Confidence increased to 70 in December

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NAHB: Builder Confidence increased to 70 in December

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reported the housing market index (HMI) was at 70 in December, up from 63 in November. Any number above 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor. From the NAHB: Builder Confidence Closes Year on a High Note Builder confidence in the market...
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