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“Mortgage Rates Surge to Highest Levels in More Than 3 Years”

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“Mortgage Rates Surge to Highest Levels in More Than 3 Years”

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Surge to Highest Levels in More Than 3 Years Mortgage rates are in trouble. This will come as no surprise to regular readers. For the past few weeks, rates made several successive runs up to the highest levels in more than 9 months. It was...
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Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI and More

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Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI and More

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Trying to Find a Ceiling Mortgage rates were decidedly higher this morning, with most lenders back above last week’s highs.  At the time, those were the highest rates in more than a month, although the range has been relatively narrow.  Underlying bond markets improved throughout the day,...
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Wednesday: FOMC Meeting, Retail Sales, CPI, Homebuilder Survey and More

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Wednesday: FOMC Meeting, Retail Sales, CPI, Homebuilder Survey and More

Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 8:30 AM, Retail sales for February will be released.  The consensus is for 0.2% increase in retail sales in February. • Also at 8:30 AM, The Consumer Price Index for February from...
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Thursday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Unemployment Claims and More

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Thursday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Unemployment Claims and More

Thursday:• At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released.  The consensus is for 265 thousand initial claims, up from 259 thousand the previous week. • Also at 8:30 AM, Retail sales for August will be released.  The consensus is for no change in retail sales in August. • Also...
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Wednesday: New Home Sales, Durable Goods, Personal Income and Outlays and More

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Wednesday: New Home Sales, Durable Goods, Personal Income and Outlays and More

From Matt Busigin at Macrofugue: US Recession Callers Are Embarrassing Themselves Through a combination of quackery, charlatanism, and inadequate utilisation of mathematics, callers for US recession in 2016 are embarrassing themselves. Again. The most prominent reason for recession calling may well be the Institute of Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index. The problem with...
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Tuesday: New Home Sales, Durable Goods and More

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Tuesday: New Home Sales, Durable Goods and More

Update on Greece, from the WSJ: Greek Bailout Proposals Lift Hopes of Deal From the Financial Times: Painful reality — creditors will support Greece in any case Hopefully a deal will be reached. Tuesday:• At 8:30 AM ET, Durable Goods Orders for May from the Census Bureau. The consensus is for a 0.6% decrease...
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FOMC Preview: More Tapering

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FOMC Preview: More Tapering

The FOMC will meet on Tuesday and Wednesday. The FOMC statement will be released Wednesday at 2:00 PM ET.  Fed Chair Janet Yellen will hold a press conference at 2:30 PM. What will know for this meeting:• The FOMC will not raise rates. D’oh! • The FOMC will reduce asset purchases (aka QE3) by...
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Lawler: More Builder Results and Summary Table

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Lawler: More Builder Results and Summary Table

From housing economist Tom Lawler: The Ryland Group reported that net home orders in the quarter ended June 30, 2014 totaled 2,228, up 1.7% from the comparable quarter of 2013. Sales per community last quarter were down 13.8% from a year ago. Home deliveries last quarter totaled 1,700, up 2.5% from the comparable quarter...
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FOMC Preview: More Tapering

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FOMC Preview: More Tapering

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will chair his last FOMC meeting this week on Tuesday and Wednesday. It appears the FOMC will reduce monthly asset purchases by another billion per month, from billion to billion. The weaker than expected December employment report will probably not derail another round of tapering. Tim Duy at Economist’s View...
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Tuesday: Small Business Optimism Index (or more likely Pessimism)

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Tuesday: Small Business Optimism Index (or more likely Pessimism)

Trom the NY Times: Skeptics See Euro as Working Against European Unity he big worry lately is the specter of deflation, a doom loop of falling prices, wages and profits that, once under way, is a tailspin hard to pull out of. The fear of years of stagnation was the main impetus for the...
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