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Posts Tagged ‘ predicting ’

Update: Predicting the Next Recession

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Update: Predicting the Next Recession

Recently there has been more discussion of a recession in 2015. That seems very unlikely to me – I’m not even on “recession watch”.    I decided to repeat a post I wrote in January 2013. (almost 2 1/2 years ago).  This still seems correct – and I’ve added a few updates in italics....
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Goldman Sachs predicting 2011 downturn for homebuilders

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Goldman Sachs predicting 2011 downturn for homebuilders

This year may not be a great year for homebuilders as existing inventory floods the market through foreclosure resales and pessimism prevails about the spring home-selling season. According to Goldman Sachs (GS: 164.83 +0.12%), the first month of the year produced numbers indicating weak demand for new houses. Based on January mortgage application data,...
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