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Posts Tagged ‘ question ’

Question #3 for 2020: What will the unemployment rate be in December 2020?

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Question #3 for 2020: What will the unemployment rate be in December 2020?

Earlier I posted some questions for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2020. I’m adding some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. 3) Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate was at 3.5% in November, down 0.2 percentage points year-over-year. Currently the FOMC is forecasting the unemployment rate will be in the 3.5% to...
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Question #8 for 2020: How much will RI increase in 2020? How about housing starts and new home sales in 2020?

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Question #8 for 2020: How much will RI increase in 2020? How about housing starts and new home sales in 2020?

Earlier I posted some questions for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2020. I’m adding some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. 8) Residential Investment: Residential investment (RI) picked up in the second half of 2019, and new home sales were up about 10% in 2019 compared to 2020.  Note: RI is...
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Question #10 for 2020: Will housing inventory increase or decrease in 2020?

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Question #10 for 2020: Will housing inventory increase or decrease in 2020?

Earlier I posted some questions for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2020. I’m adding some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. 10) Housing Inventory: Housing inventory decreased in 2019 after increasing in 2018. Will inventory increase or decrease in 2020? Tracking housing inventory is very helpful in understanding the housing market....
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Question #5 for 2018: Will the Fed raise rates in 2018, and if so, by how much?

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Question #5 for 2018: Will the Fed raise rates in 2018, and if so, by how much?

Earlier I posted some questions for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2018. I’m adding some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. 5) Monetary Policy:  The Fed raised rates three times in 2017 and started to reduce their balance sheet. The Fed is forecasting three more rate hikes in 2018.  Some analysts...
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Question #8 for 2018: What will happen with house prices in 2018?

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Question #8 for 2018: What will happen with house prices in 2018?

Earlier I posted some questions for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2018. I’ll try to add some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. 8) House Prices: It appears house prices – as measured by the national repeat sales index (Case-Shiller, CoreLogic) - will be up over 6% in 2017.   What will happen with house...
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Question #1 for 2017: What about fiscal and regulatory policy in 2017?

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Question #1 for 2017: What about fiscal and regulatory policy in 2017?

Late last year I posted some questions for 2017: Ten Economic Questions for 2017. I’ll try to add some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. 1) US Policy: There is significant uncertainty as to fiscal and regulatory policy in 2017. This is probably the biggest risk for the US economy this coming...
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Question #3 for 2017: Will job creation slow further in 2017?

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Question #3 for 2017: Will job creation slow further in 2017?

Late last year I posted some questions for 2017: Ten Economic Questions for 2017. I’ll try to add some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. 3) Employment: Through November1, the economy has added almost 2,000,000 jobs this year, or 180,000 per month. As expected, this was down from the 230 thousand per...
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Question #5 for 2017: Will the core inflation rate rise in 2017? Will too much inflation be a concern in 2017?

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Question #5 for 2017: Will the core inflation rate rise in 2017? Will too much inflation be a concern in 2017?

Late last year I posted some questions for 2017: Ten Economic Questions for 2017. I’ll try to add some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. 5) Inflation: The inflation rate has increased a little recently, and some key measures are now close to the the Fed’s 2% target. Will core inflation rate...
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Question #5 for 2016: Will the Fed raise rates in 2016, and if so, by how much?

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Question #5 for 2016: Will the Fed raise rates in 2016, and if so, by how much?

Earlier I posted some questions for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2016. I’ll try to add some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. Here is a review of the Ten Economic Questions for 2015. 5) Monetary Policy: The Fed raised rates in December, and now the question is how much will...
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Duy’s Fed Watch: “Onto The Next Question”

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Duy’s Fed Watch: “Onto The Next Question”

Some excerpts from a piece by Tim Duy: Onto The Next Question It would seem that a December rate hike is all but certain barring some dramatic deterioration in financial conditions. The October employment report should remove any residual concerns among FOMC members over the underlaying pace of activity, clearing the way for the...
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