Thursday:• At 8:15 AM ET, The ADP Employment Report for November. This report is for private payrolls only (no government).  The consensus is for 175,000 jobs added, down from 227,000 in October. • At 8:30 AM, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released.  The consensus is for 225 thousand initial claims, down...
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My September Employment Preview Goldman: September Payrolls Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM, Employment Report for September. The consensus is for an increase of 180,000 non-farm payroll jobs in September, down from the 201,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in August. The consensus is for the unemployment rate to decline to 3.8%. • At 8:30 AM,...
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My July Employment Preview Goldman: July Payrolls Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM, Employment Report for July. The consensus is for an increase of 190,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in July, down from the 213,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in June. The consensus is for the unemployment rate to decline to 3.9%. • Also at...
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Wednesday:• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 8:30 AM, Trade Balance report for April from the Census Bureau. The consensus is for the U.S. trade deficit to be at .0 billion in April unchanged from .0 billion in March....
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Fed’s Beige Book “This report was prepared at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland based on information collected on or before May 21, 2018.” Economic activity expanded moderately in late April and early May with few shifts in the pattern of growth. The Dallas District was an exception, where overall economic activity sped up...
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My December Employment Preview Goldman: December Payrolls Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM, Employment Report for December. The consensus is for an increase of 190,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in December, down from the 228,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in November. The consensus is for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 4.1%. • At...
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From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Still Holding Near Recent Highs Mortgage rates were very slightly lower today, but not by enough to have an impact on the actual interest rates being quoted.  Specifically, the “effective rate”–which factors upfront costs into an overall cost of financing is slightly lower due to changes in...
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From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Back in Line With 2017 Lows Mortgage rates moved lower today on a combination of factors.  Chief among these were headlines over the weekend concerning more North Korean weapons testing–specifically, a detonation of its largest bomb ever on Sunday followed by reports from South Korea of another...
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Earlier: My May Employment Preview and Goldman: May Employment Preview Friday:• At 8:30 AM ET, Employment Report for May. The consensus is for an increase of 185,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in May, down from the 211,000 non-farm payroll jobs added in April. The consensus is for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 4.4%....
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From Merrill Lynch on FOMC announcement: The FOMC communicated today a lack of concern about the recent slowdown in economic data, describing it as “transitory” while “the fundamentals underpinning the continued growth of consumption remained solid”. Not surprisingly then the statement was interpreted as hawkish relative to market expectations, as the Treasury curve bear...
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